quant_lab V10.1 — Dashboard

今日核心指令

最危险

OKTA $115.90 ▼-3.4%

动量加速且平滑 + 时政强利好 + ⚠️ 止损已触发

综合得分 5.4 (HOLD)

LMT $528.49 ▼-0.3%

动量加速且平滑 + 时政强利好 + ⚠️ 止损已触发

综合得分 5.4 (HOLD)

AA $66.70 ▼-7.9%

多头排列+超卖反弹 + 时政强利好 + ⚠️ 止损已触发

综合得分 5.5 (HOLD)

CRWD $648.80 ▲+0.6%

动量加速且平滑 + 时政强利好 + ⚠️ 止损已触发

综合得分 5.5 (HOLD)

BP $43.29 ▲+1.5%

时政强利好 + ⚠️ 止损已触发

综合得分 5.5 (HOLD)

RTX $178.48 ▼-1.7%

动量加速且平滑 + 时政强利好 + ⚠️ 止损已触发

综合得分 5.6 (HOLD)

最鼓励买入

UPS $103.15 ▼-4.4%

动量加速且平滑 + 多头排列+超卖反弹 + 时政强利好 + 👀 Macro Observer: Caution 0.45

综合得分 6.6 (BUY)

XLE (能源 ETF) $58.54 ▲+2.0%

动量加速且平滑 + 时政强利好 + ⚠️ 止损已触发 + 👀 Macro Observer: Caution 0.45

综合得分 6.5 (BUY)

CVX $191.12 ▲+2.3%

动量加速且平滑 + 多头排列+超卖反弹 + 时政强利好 + ⚠️ 止损已触发 + 👀 Macro Observer: Caution 0.45

综合得分 6.3 (BUY)

TRGP $272.76 ▲+3.2%

动量加速且平滑 + 多头排列+超卖反弹 + 时政强利好 + 👀 Macro Observer: Caution 0.45

综合得分 6.3 (BUY)

KLAC $2142.21 ▲+0.1%

动量加速且平滑 + 多头排列+超卖反弹 + 时政强利好 + 👀 Macro Observer: Caution 0.45

综合得分 6.3 (BUY)

GS $1006.14 ▼-2.5%

动量加速且平滑 + 时政强利好 + 👀 Macro Observer: Caution 0.45

综合得分 6.2 (BUY)

密切关注 (新闻异动)

AA $66.70 ▼-7.9%

📈 通胀 → 大宗商品/黄金受益，成长股估值压缩 | 📈 关税 → 本土钢铝受益，中概股/供应链企业受压

AAL $13.43 ▼-4.7%

📉 中东冲突 → 油价上涨利好能源/黄金/军工，利空航空 | 📉 油价变动 → 能源受益，航空成本上升

AAPL (Apple) $292.65 ▲+0.7%

📉 关税 → 本土钢铝受益，中概股/供应链企业受压 | 📉 台海局势 → 半导体供应链风险

ABNB $129.40 ▼-1.5%

📉 战争风险 → 军工+避险资产受益，大盘/旅游承压 | 📉 衰退 → 必选消费/避险受益，可选消费承压

ALK $41.48 ▼-8.1%

📉 油价变动 → 能源受益，航空成本上升 | 📉 油价上涨 → 能源股受益，航空承压

AMAT $497.50 ▼-0.3%

📈 半导体需求 → 芯片全链受益 | 📈 半导体行业动态

多因子复合信号完整表

引擎透视：上述的买入和危险指令均由此多因子引擎生成。

因子的评分逻辑是什么？

高历史回报只代表趋势强劲，不代表今天值得买入。 真正的买入需要多重确认：

因子	含义
动量质量	加速度 + 路径平滑度。涨太猛反而扣分
量价确认	上涨放量 = 机构入场。缩量 = 虚假突破
技术位置	RSI 30-40 最佳买入区。70+ 危险
波动率	低波顺势做多。波动率飙升 → 谨慎
时政	新闻利好/利空 × 数量权重
止损	止损触发 → 几乎一票否决

信号阈值: ≥7.5 强买入 | 6-7.5 买入 | 4.5-6 持有 | <4.5 卖出

不同类型的标的使用不同的因子权重配置（科技/ETF/中概/周期等）

#	标的	综合	信号	动量	量价	技术	波动	时政	止损	理由
1	UPS $103.15 ▼-4.4%	6.6	买入	8	6	8	6	7	3	动量加速且平滑 \| 多头排列+超卖反弹
2	XLE (能源 ETF) $58.54 ▲+2.0%	6.5	买入	9	5	6	6	10	1	动量加速且平滑 \| 时政强利好
3	CVX $191.12 ▲+2.3%	6.3	买入	8	5	7	6	10	1	动量加速且平滑 \| 多头排列+超卖反弹
4	TRGP $272.76 ▲+3.2%	6.3	买入	9	4	7	6	9	3	动量加速且平滑 \| 多头排列+超卖反弹
5	KLAC $2142.21 ▲+0.1%	6.3	买入	8	6	7	3	7	3	动量加速且平滑 \| 多头排列+超卖反弹
6	GS $1006.14 ▼-2.5%	6.2	买入	8	6	6	5	7	3	动量加速且平滑 \| 时政强利好
7	JPM $311.34 ▼-0.4%	6.2	买入	7	4	7	6	10	3	动量加速且平滑 \| 多头排列+超卖反弹
8	GE $321.38 ▼-2.7%	6.1	买入	8	6	6	6	7	3	动量加速且平滑 \| 时政强利好
9	AMAT $497.50 ▼-0.3%	6.1	买入	8	6	7	3	7	3	动量加速且平滑 \| 多头排列+超卖反弹
10	BAC $54.82 ▲+0.7%	6.1	买入	8	6	4	6	7	3	动量加速且平滑 \| 时政强利好
11	AMD $451.21 ▼-5.1%	6.0	买入	6	5	8	3	9	3	多头排列+超卖反弹 \| 时政强利好
12	GD $343.68 ▼-0.6%	5.9	持有	7	4	6	6	10	3	动量加速且平滑 \| 时政强利好
13	ODFL $233.47 ▼-6.1%	5.9	持有	8	6	6	5	5	3	动量加速且平滑
14	ASML $1741.30 ▼-2.1%	5.9	持有	8	6	7	5	5	3	动量加速且平滑 \| 多头排列+超卖反弹
15	OXY $57.49 ▲+1.7%	5.8	持有	7	5	5	6	10	1	动量加速且平滑 \| 时政强利好
16	XOM $151.25 ▲+1.6%	5.8	持有	7	5	5	6	10	1	动量加速且平滑 \| 时政强利好
17	XOP (油气 ETF) $168.85 ▲+2.9%	5.8	持有	6	5	5	6	10	1	时政强利好 \| ⚠️ 止损已触发
18	FCX $62.50 ▼-2.7%	5.7	持有	6	5	7	5	7	3	多头排列+超卖反弹 \| 时政强利好
19	MS $207.76 ▼-1.2%	5.7	持有	7	6	6	6	5	3	动量加速且平滑
20	LLY $1137.06 ▼-0.7%	5.7	持有	8	5	7	6	5	3	动量加速且平滑 \| 多头排列+超卖反弹

数据同步中心

报告日期: 2026-06-10

上次执行: 2026-06-10T21:00:01

Gemini CLI --

展开高级操作 (开发与调试)

执行日志

等待命令...

进化审核面板 ▶ 展开

World Monitor CAUTION

VIX

19.87

VIX3M

21.31

VVIX

95.81

SKEW

141.97

US10Y

4.54%

净流动性

5.87T

期权偏斜

-0.109

恐慌评分

0.45 期限:正常(Contango) | 源:cboe

VIX 恐慌评分 0.45，进入警戒状态。密切关注波动率变化。

Weekend Sentinel NEUTRAL

BTC-USD

$61,838 ▲+0.3%

TA-35 (Israel)

4,196 ▼-0.9%

Gap Risk

NEUTRAL

Aviation OSINT NORMAL

北京台海霍尔木兹海峡波兰-乌克兰边境关岛

探测军机: 0 (空域平静)

新闻异动信号 (11)

[velocity_spike]事件类别 'general' 异常集中: 1361/1661 条新闻 (82%)

[keyword_spike]威胁关键词 'war' 在当前新闻中出现 115 次

[keyword_spike]威胁关键词 'ban' 在当前新闻中出现 76 次

[keyword_spike]威胁关键词 'attack' 在当前新闻中出现 59 次

[keyword_spike]威胁关键词 'strike' 在当前新闻中出现 51 次

威胁雷达: conflict(350), regulatory(106), market_stress(25), cyber(22), natural(8)

宏观叙事风向标 V6.0 Narrative Engine

全局 Regime: Neutral (score=+0.196)

恐慌避险
股票下跌·黄金上涨方向不明乐观追涨
股票上涨·资金入场

Tech & AI Boom CRITICAL Risk-On 425 篇 | 得分 726.0

科技/AI 浪潮 — ai(462), claude(9), openai(6), data center(6)

利好AMD AVGO GOOGL META MSFT NVDA

代表性报道:

[Federal Reserve] Kevin Warsh takes oath of office as chairman and a member of the Board of Governor
[Federal Reserve] Agencies publish resolution plan feedback letters for certain domestic and foreign
[Federal Reserve] Federal Reserve Board names Jerome H. Powell as chair pro tempore; Powell will ser

Middle East CRITICAL Risk-Off 179 篇 | 得分 331.5

中东局势 — iran(116), israel(49), lebanon(17), middle east(11)

利好CVX GD GLD IAU LMT OXY

利空AAL ALK DAL LUV UAL

代表性报道:

[Federal Reserve] Stephen I. Miran submits his resignation as a member of the Federal Reserve Board,
[UN News] Middle East LIVE: Diplomacy in focus as escalation ‘reverberates across borders and contin
[UN News] Fresh strikes on Tyre kill eight, as UN puts Lebanon destruction bill at $365 million, and

Monetary Policy CRITICAL Neutral 51 篇 | 得分 112.5

货币政策 — inflation(24), federal reserve(16), fed(6), powell(3)

利好BAC GLD GS JPM

利空ARKK MSTR

代表性报道:

[Federal Reserve] Federal Reserve Board announces that results from its annual bank stress test will
[Federal Reserve] Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions with former employee of Atlantic
[Federal Reserve] Kevin Warsh takes oath of office as chairman and a member of the Board of Governor

East Asia CRITICAL Risk-Off 53 篇 | 得分 88.0

东亚地缘 — japan(23), korea(20), taiwan(12), north korea(7)

利好GLD LMT RTX

利空ASML EWY FXI NVDA TSM

代表性报道:

[BBC World] Growing backlash in Japan over Trump's use of anime characters
[Guardian World] Japanese manga fans urge Trump to stop using characters in his online posts
[Guardian World] Xi Jinping arrives in Pyongyang on trip to revitalise China-North Korea ties

Trade War HIGH Risk-Off 14 篇 | 得分 26.0

贸易摩擦 — sanctions(12), tariff(2), export control(1)

利好AA CLF GLD X

利空AAPL BABA FXI JD NVDA PDD

代表性报道:

[UN News] Children are dying as US sanctions push Cuba to the brink, warns UN human rights chief
[Al Jazeera] Sanctions on settlers not enough: Target Israeli gov’t, say campaigners
[BBC Middle East] Wars, sanctions and punishments: Iraq's 40-year World Cup wait

Energy Crisis HIGH Risk-Off 15 篇 | 得分 22.5

能源市场 — lng(7), oil price(2), energy crisis(2), pipeline(2)

利好CVX OXY XLE XOM XOP

利空AAL DAL UAL

代表性报道:

[CNBC] Oil prices may hit $150 per barrel soon if Iran war continues, energy economist says
[Atlantic Council] From diversification to integration: A market-based LNG coordination mechanism in
[Atlantic Council] US Energy Secretary Chris Wright: It will take ‘many months’ to get back to norma

截面动量扫描器 (参考数据，非交易指令)

此表仅按 (6月涨幅 - 波动作罚) 单维排序，展示哪些资产近期最强势。高动量不等于值得买入（可能面临严重回调或超买）。

排名	标的	单因子得分	动量(6月)	波动率
1	MU $891.84 ▼-4.7%	+2.134	+253.6%	80.5%
2	INTC $106.48 ▼-1.3%	+1.221	+162.9%	81.6%
3	ARM $306.80 ▼-5.6%	+0.763	+116.2%	79.6%
4	AMD $451.21 ▼-5.1%	+0.686	+103.6%	70.0%
5	LRCX $320.40 ▼-2.1%	+0.637	+93.5%	59.6%
6	AMAT $497.50 ▼-0.3%	+0.602	+86.7%	53.0%
7	BE $233.81 ▼-9.9%	+0.600	+113.6%	107.3%
8	CLOV $4.82 ▲+12.5%	+0.561	+86.3%	60.3%
9	ALAB $337.67 ▼-1.2%	+0.528	+102.1%	98.7%
10	KLAC $2142.21 ▲+0.1%	+0.469	+75.2%	56.7%
11	TRGP $272.76 ▲+3.2%	+0.369	+50.0%	26.2%
12	ODFL $233.47 ▼-6.1%	+0.363	+57.2%	41.8%
13	ASML $1741.30 ▼-2.1%	+0.337	+57.2%	47.1%
14	TWLO $209.02 ▲+2.1%	+0.305	+61.2%	61.3%
15	EQIX $1034.37 ▼-2.4%	+0.291	+41.1%	24.1%

统一情报流按重要度排序 · 点击标签切换

IRAN 中东冲突 → 油价上涨利好能源/黄金/军工，利空航空 276篇 · 16xT1

BP $43.29 ▲+1.5% CVX $191.12 ▲+2.3% GD $343.68 ▼-0.6% GLD (黄金 ETF (SPDR) $376.27 ▼-3.7% AAL $13.43 ▼-4.7% DAL $76.93 ▼-5.2% LUV $41.21 ▼-4.5% UAL $102.71 ▼-6.3%

OIL 油价变动 → 能源受益，航空成本上升 110篇 · 4xT1

BP $43.29 ▲+1.5% CVX $191.12 ▲+2.3% OXY $57.49 ▲+1.7% TRGP $272.76 ▲+3.2% AAL $13.43 ▼-4.7% ALK $41.48 ▼-8.1% DAL $76.93 ▼-5.2% LUV $41.21 ▼-4.5%

OIL PRICE 油价上涨 → 能源股受益，航空承压 17篇 · 2xT1

BP $43.29 ▲+1.5% CVX $191.12 ▲+2.3% OXY $57.49 ▲+1.7% XLE (能源 ETF) $58.54 ▲+2.0% AAL $13.43 ▼-4.7% ALK $41.48 ▼-8.1% DAL $76.93 ▼-5.2% LUV $41.21 ▼-4.5%

TARIFF 关税 → 本土钢铝受益，中概股/供应链企业受压 20篇 · 2xT1

AA $66.70 ▼-7.9% CLF $12.55 ▼-1.4% AAPL (Apple) $292.65 ▲+0.7% BABA (阿里巴巴) $115.87 ▼-3.2% JD (京东) $28.59 ▼-0.5% NIO (蔚来) $5.21 ▼-1.3%

WAR 战争风险 → 军工+避险资产受益，大盘/旅游承压 487篇 · 36xT1

AXON $451.70 ▼-0.2% GD $343.68 ▼-0.6% GLD (黄金 ETF (SPDR) $376.27 ▼-3.7% IAU (黄金 ETF (iShares) $77.10 ▼-3.7% ABNB $129.40 ▼-1.5% MAR $385.62 ▼-2.0% QQQ (纳斯达克100 ETF) $695.01 ▼-1.8% SPY (标普500 ETF) $727.00 ▼-1.4%

SANCTIONS 制裁 → 中概股风险升高 41篇 · 2xT1

LMT $528.49 ▼-0.3% RTX $178.48 ▼-1.7% XOM $151.25 ▲+1.6% BABA (阿里巴巴) $115.87 ▼-3.2% BIDU (百度) $118.35 ▼-2.3% FXI (中国大盘 ETF) $34.81 ▲+0.3% JD (京东) $28.59 ▼-0.5%

RECESSION 衰退 → 必选消费/避险受益，可选消费承压 6篇 · 0xT1

GLD (黄金 ETF (SPDR) $376.27 ▼-3.7% IAU (黄金 ETF (iShares) $77.10 ▼-3.7% KR $64.34 ▲+2.1% PG $149.35 ▲+0.4% ABNB $129.40 ▼-1.5% LULU $120.19 ▼-1.0% MAR $385.62 ▼-2.0% NKE $44.04 ▼-1.4%

INTEREST RATE 加息 → 银行利差扩大，房地产/REITs 承压 11篇 · 2xT1

BAC $54.82 ▲+0.7% BLK $1009.99 ▼-0.2% GS $1006.14 ▼-2.5% JPM $311.34 ▼-0.4% DHI $146.29 ▼-3.2% DLR $181.49 ▼-1.9% EQIX $1034.37 ▼-2.4% TOL $138.52 ▼-3.9%

FEDERAL RESERVE 联储政策变化 → 金融/避险联动 38篇 · 32xT1

BRK-B $486.05 ▼-0.4% GLD (黄金 ETF (SPDR) $376.27 ▼-3.7% IAU (黄金 ETF (iShares) $77.10 ▼-3.7% JPM $311.34 ▼-0.4% ARKK (ARK 创新 ETF) $73.58 ▼-1.9% MSTR $116.48 ▼-0.5%

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 人工智能发展 → 全链受益 30篇 · 10xT1

AMD $451.21 ▼-5.1% AMZN (Amazon) $238.10 ▼-2.5% AVGO $372.80 ▼-4.9% GOOGL (Alphabet) $356.02 ▼-2.3%

Intelligence Digest

事件 1661 方向 中性 (Neutral) 信源 T1:203 T2:30 T3:30 T4:1398

[armed_conflict] Sudan war: Drone attacks damage key aid routes

[armed_conflict] ‘The ocean has no boundaries’: Beauty and life in a war zone

[armed_conflict] Bowen: Trump needs this war to end but Iran is not backing down

[armed_conflict] Iran attacks damage 20 US military sites since start of war, satellite images sh

[armed_conflict] Learning from Ukraine war, Hezbollah is now using fibre-optic drones to hit Isra

Show detailed breakdown & headlines

事件类别

general

1361

conflict

185

economic

military

diplomatic

protest

disaster

health

严重等级

INFO

1361

HIGH

159

MEDIUM

CRITICAL

LOW

今日要闻

Federal ReserveFederal Reserve Board announces that results from its annual bank stress test wi

Federal ReserveAgencies remove additional references to reputation risk

Federal ReserveFederal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions with former employee of Atlanti

Federal ReserveMinutes of the Board's discount rate meeting on April 20 and 29, 2026

Federal ReserveKevin Warsh takes oath of office as chairman and a member of the Board of Govern

最危险

最鼓励买入

密切关注 (新闻异动)

信号雷达与逻辑

因子雷达图

信号雷达与逻辑

因子雷达图