恐慌评分
0.32
期限:正常(Contango) | 源:cboe
Weekend Sentinel
NEUTRAL
TA-35 (Israel)
4,263 ▼-1.1%
Aviation OSINT
NORMAL
北京台海霍尔木兹海峡波兰-乌克兰边境关岛
探测军机: 0 (空域平静)
新闻异动信号 (11)
[velocity_spike]事件类别 'general' 异常集中: 1382/1659 条新闻 (83%)
[keyword_spike]威胁关键词 'war' 在当前新闻中出现 111 次
[keyword_spike]威胁关键词 'ban' 在当前新闻中出现 91 次
[keyword_spike]威胁关键词 'attack' 在当前新闻中出现 45 次
[keyword_spike]威胁关键词 'strike' 在当前新闻中出现 45 次
威胁雷达: conflict(324), regulatory(125), cyber(29), market_stress(15), natural(7)
宏观叙事风向标 V6.0 Narrative Engine
全局 Regime: Risk-On
(score=+0.228)
恐慌避险
股票下跌·黄金上涨
方向不明
乐观追涨
股票上涨·资金入场
科技/AI 浪潮 — ai(509), chip(10), openai(7), data center(6)
利好AMD AVGO GOOGL META MSFT NVDA
代表性报道:- [Federal Reserve] Kevin Warsh takes oath of office as chairman and a member of the Board of Governor
- [Federal Reserve] Agencies publish resolution plan feedback letters for certain domestic and foreign
- [Federal Reserve] Federal Reserve Board names Jerome H. Powell as chair pro tempore; Powell will ser
中东局势 — iran(97), israel(58), lebanon(27), hezbollah(15)
利好CVX GD GLD IAU LMT OXY
利空AAL ALK DAL LUV UAL
代表性报道:- [Federal Reserve] Stephen I. Miran submits his resignation as a member of the Federal Reserve Board,
- [Bloomberg] S&P 500 Rally Runs Into Wall Following Deadly US-Iran Flare-up
- [Bloomberg] Gold Slips as Middle East Tensions Keep Inflation Risks Elevated
货币政策 — federal reserve(16), fed(8), inflation(5), powell(3)
利好BAC GLD GS JPM
利空ARKK MSTR
代表性报道:- [Federal Reserve] Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions with former employee of Atlantic
- [Federal Reserve] Kevin Warsh takes oath of office as chairman and a member of the Board of Governor
- [Federal Reserve] Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former employee of Commerce B
东亚地缘 — korea(14), japan(13), taiwan(7), north korea(5)
利好GLD LMT RTX
利空ASML EWY FXI NVDA TSM
代表性报道:- [BBC World] Watch: Man attacked by bear at steel works in Japan
- [France 24] Japan: Modern-day samurais battle new foe: Climate change
- [Guardian World] Typhoon Jangmi threatens Japan as Europe swelters
贸易摩擦 — tariff(12), sanctions(5), trade deal(1), trade war(1)
利好AA CLF GLD X
利空AAPL BABA FXI JD NVDA PDD
代表性报道:- [BBC World] US announces new tariffs over forced labour concerns
- [Al Jazeera] Lula says Brazil cannot ‘accept treatment’ after new US tariffs proposed
- [Al Jazeera] US cites forced labour concerns as grounds for new tariffs
能源市场 — oil price(5), lng(5), pipeline(4), energy crisis(3)
利好CVX OXY XLE XOM XOP
利空AAL DAL UAL
代表性报道:- [BBC World] Shell pumped oil through Nigeria pipeline for years despite pollution evidence, document
- [Seeking Alpha] Crude Reality: Oil Prices Likely To Remain Higher For Longer
- [MarketWatch] Oil prices look to end at highest levels in over a week: ‘Oil tanks are getting emptie
截面动量扫描器 (参考数据，非交易指令)
此表仅按 (6月涨幅 - 波动作罚) 单维排序，展示哪些资产近期最强势。高动量不等于值得买入（可能面临严重回调或超买）。
| 排名 | 标的 | 单因子得分 | 动量(6月) | 波动率 |
|---|
| 1 |
MU $1070.00 ▲+0.5% |
+3.094 |
+347.1% |
75.6% |
| 2 |
ARM $411.19 ▲+2.1% |
+1.636 |
+201.3% |
75.4% |
| 3 |
INTC $112.12 ▲+3.9% |
+1.183 |
+157.9% |
79.2% |
| 4 |
AMD $541.15 ▲+3.8% |
+1.181 |
+151.4% |
66.6% |
| 5 |
BE $285.18 ▼-5.8% |
+1.180 |
+171.6% |
107.2% |
| 6 |
ALAB $362.32 ▲+1.8% |
+1.046 |
+153.5% |
97.8% |
| 7 |
LRCX $343.76 ▲+2.8% |
+0.895 |
+117.9% |
56.8% |
| 8 |
AA $81.54 ▼-2.7% |
+0.699 |
+97.4% |
54.8% |
| 9 |
FLY $40.21 ▼-7.3% |
+0.657 |
+124.6% |
117.8% |
| 10 |
AMAT $499.77 ▲+2.0% |
+0.640 |
+88.8% |
49.6% |
| 11 |
SFTBY (SoftBank) $26.13 ▼-4.6% |
+0.612 |
+102.4% |
82.3% |
| 12 |
GNRC $284.95 ▲+0.1% |
+0.568 |
+83.5% |
53.3% |
| 13 |
KLAC $2124.96 ▲+3.9% |
+0.523 |
+79.0% |
53.4% |
| 14 |
ODFL $232.85 ▲+1.7% |
+0.444 |
+65.2% |
41.4% |
| 15 |
TWLO $225.43 ▼-1.7% |
+0.438 |
+73.7% |
59.9% |
统一情报流 时政联动 + 信号汇聚
新闻↔持仓交叉 + 多维度信号汇聚 · 点击展开查看受影响标的
利好AMD $541.15 ▲+3.8% AMZN (Amazon) $248.59 ▼-3.1% AVGO $487.77 ▲+1.3% GOOGL (Alphabet) $360.54 ▼-0.4% META (Meta) $621.99 ▲+4.1% MSFT (Microsoft) $427.98 ▼-3.0%
相关报道- [05-22 22:15] Kevin Warsh takes oath of office as chairman and a member of the Board of Govern
- [05-22 22:00] Agencies publish resolution plan feedback letters for certain domestic and forei
- [05-15 23:00] Federal Reserve Board names Jerome H. Powell as chair pro tempore; Powell will s
利好AXON $477.30 ▼-2.6% GD $339.51 ▲+0.6% GLD (黄金 ETF (SPDR) $407.78 ▼-1.0% IAU (黄金 ETF (iShares) $83.58 ▼-1.0% LMT $515.65 ▲+0.4% RTX $173.81 ▼-0.3%
利空ABNB $133.66 ▼-0.5% MAR $376.35 ▲+0.7% QQQ (纳斯达克100 ETF) $744.42 ▼-0.2% SPY (标普500 ETF) $755.31 ▼-0.6%
相关报道- [05-22 22:15] Kevin Warsh takes oath of office as chairman and a member of the Board of Govern
- [05-15 23:00] Federal Reserve Board names Jerome H. Powell as chair pro tempore; Powell will s
- [06-03 20:37] Fed Beige Book Shows Steady Employment, Higher Inflation
利好BYDDY (比亚迪 BYD) $11.74 ▼-3.3% LI (理想) $15.11 ▼-2.0% NIO (蔚来) $5.76 ▼-4.2% TSLA (Tesla) $422.15 ▼-0.4% XPEV (小鹏) $17.58 ▼-1.7%
相关报道- [05-22 22:15] Kevin Warsh takes oath of office as chairman and a member of the Board of Govern
- [05-15 23:00] Federal Reserve Board names Jerome H. Powell as chair pro tempore; Powell will s
- [06-03 18:37] Bloomberg Money: Where To Invest Now
利好BP $43.71 ▲+0.7% CVX $189.59 ▲+1.1% GD $339.51 ▲+0.6% GLD (黄金 ETF (SPDR) $407.78 ▼-1.0% IAU (黄金 ETF (iShares) $83.58 ▼-1.0% LMT $515.65 ▲+0.4%
利空AAL $13.59 ▼-2.4% DAL $79.09 ▼-1.2% LUV $41.15 ▼-2.8% UAL $105.62 ▼-2.9%
相关报道- [05-14 20:00] Stephen I. Miran submits his resignation as a member of the Federal Reserve Boar
- [06-03 14:31] S&P 500 Rally Runs Into Wall Following Deadly US-Iran Flare-up
- [06-03 01:28] Gold Slips as Middle East Tensions Keep Inflation Risks Elevated
利好GLD (黄金 ETF (SPDR) $407.78 ▼-1.0% LMT $515.65 ▲+0.4% XOM $153.11 ▲+2.4%
利空SPY (标普500 ETF) $755.31 ▼-0.6%
相关报道- [06-03 17:18] Eight killed after drone hits bus in Russian-occupied part of Ukraine
- [06-03 01:33] Putin remains uncompromising on Ukraine, but is public discourse on war changing
- [06-02 14:00] UN deplores another wave of Russian attacks across Ukraine
利好GD $339.51 ▲+0.6% GLD (黄金 ETF (SPDR) $407.78 ▼-1.0% LMT $515.65 ▲+0.4% RTX $173.81 ▼-0.3% XOM $153.11 ▲+2.4%
利空SPY (标普500 ETF) $755.31 ▼-0.6%
相关报道- [06-03 17:18] Eight killed after drone hits bus in Russian-occupied part of Ukraine
- [06-03 01:33] Putin remains uncompromising on Ukraine, but is public discourse on war changing
- [06-02 14:00] UN deplores another wave of Russian attacks across Ukraine
利好AXON $477.30 ▼-2.6% LMT $515.65 ▲+0.4% RTX $173.81 ▼-0.3%
相关报道- [06-03 16:02] One killed and dozens injured in Iranian drone strikes on Kuwait airport
- [06-03 13:34] Ukrainian drones hit St Petersburg as Putin's flagship economic forum opens
- [06-03 17:18] Eight killed after drone hits bus in Russian-occupied part of Ukraine
利好BP $43.71 ▲+0.7% CVX $189.59 ▲+1.1% OXY $59.79 ▲+1.2% TRGP $265.40 ▲+0.8% XLE (能源 ETF) $58.78 ▲+1.4% XOM $153.11 ▲+2.4%
利空AAL $13.59 ▼-2.4% ALK $42.44 ▼-3.4% DAL $79.09 ▼-1.2% LUV $41.15 ▼-2.8% UAL $105.62 ▼-2.9%
相关报道- [06-03 14:31] S&P 500 Rally Runs Into Wall Following Deadly US-Iran Flare-up
- [06-03 00:08] Stocks Decline as US-Iran Clashes Drive Oil Higher: Markets Wrap
- [06-03 16:02] One killed and dozens injured in Iranian drone strikes on Kuwait airport
利好AA $81.54 ▼-2.7% CLF $14.28 ▼-3.1% GLD (黄金 ETF (SPDR) $407.78 ▼-1.0% LMT $515.65 ▲+0.4% RTX $173.81 ▼-0.3% XOM $153.11 ▲+2.4%
利空AAPL (Apple) $309.86 ▼-1.7% BABA (阿里巴巴) $127.56 ▼-2.5% BIDU (百度) $133.86 ▼-2.1% FXI (中国大盘 ETF) $35.56 ▼-2.2% JD (京东) $29.29 ▼-2.9% NIO (蔚来) $5.76 ▼-4.2%
tariff: 关税 → 本土钢铝受益，中概股/供应链企业受压 (5 加权) tariff: 关税 → 本土钢铝受益，中概股/供应链企业受压 (利空) trade war: 贸易战 → 避险+本土受益，出口/供应链受压 (1 加权) trade war: 贸易战 → 避险+本土受益，出口/供应链受压 (利空)
利好AMAT $499.77 ▲+2.0% AMD $541.15 ▲+3.8% AMZN (Amazon) $248.59 ▼-3.1% ASML $1731.78 ▲+1.6% AVGO $487.77 ▲+1.3% GOOGL (Alphabet) $360.54 ▼-0.4%
ai: AI 趋势 → 算力/平台/应用全链受益 (64 加权) artificial intelligence: 人工智能发展 → 全链受益 (1 加权) chip: 半导体需求 → 芯片全链受益 (1 加权) semiconductor: 半导体行业动态 (0 加权)
利好AXON $477.30 ▼-2.6% BP $43.71 ▲+0.7% CVX $189.59 ▲+1.1% GD $339.51 ▲+0.6% GLD (黄金 ETF (SPDR) $407.78 ▼-1.0% IAU (黄金 ETF (iShares) $83.58 ▼-1.0%
利空AAL $13.59 ▼-2.4% ABNB $133.66 ▼-0.5% BABA (阿里巴巴) $127.56 ▼-2.5% BIDU (百度) $133.86 ▼-2.1% DAL $79.09 ▼-1.2% FXI (中国大盘 ETF) $35.56 ▼-2.2%
war: 战争风险 → 军工+避险资产受益，大盘/旅游承压 (42 加权) war: 战争风险 → 军工+避险资产受益，大盘/旅游承压 (利空) iran: 中东冲突 → 油价上涨利好能源/黄金/军工，利空航空 (35 加权) iran: 中东冲突 → 油价上涨利好能源/黄金/军工，利空航空 (利空)
FUTU 止损触发 (偏离 31.6%) FUTU 大跌 -6.9% FUTU STRONG_SELL (score=2.4)
利好HOOD $83.08 ▼-5.8% MSTR $130.90 ▼-3.8% SOFI $16.68 ▼-5.9%
crypto: 加密货币市场动态 (0 加权) bitcoin: 比特币动态 (0 加权) MSTR 止损触发 (偏离 20.4%) HOOD 大跌 -5.8%
CRCL 止损触发 (偏离 19.3%) CRCL 大跌 -8.7%
利好BYDDY (比亚迪 BYD) $11.74 ▼-3.3% LI (理想) $15.11 ▼-2.0% NIO (蔚来) $5.76 ▼-4.2% TSLA (Tesla) $422.15 ▼-0.4% XPEV (小鹏) $17.58 ▼-1.7%
利空F $15.71 ▼-2.7% GM $82.20 ▲+0.6% VWAGY (Volkswagen) $10.52 ▼-2.2%
ev: 电动车需求 (36 加权) electric vehicle: 电动车趋势 → 新势力受益，传统车企转型压力 (0 加权) electric vehicle: 电动车趋势 → 新势力受益，传统车企转型压力 (利空) BYDDY 止损触发 (偏离 3.9%)
TTD 止损触发 (偏离 1.9%) TTD 大跌 -4.0% TTD STRONG_SELL (score=3.0)
事件情报摘要
事件 1659
方向 中性 (Neutral)
信源 T1:204 T2:30 T3:30 T4:1395
[armed_conflict] Putin remains uncompromising on Ukraine, but is public discourse on war changing
[armed_conflict] UN stresses the need for de-escalation in Ukraine war as attacks rise
[armed_conflict] UN warns Ukraine war risks spiralling ‘out of control’
[armed_conflict] Bowen: Trump needs this war to end but Iran is not backing down
[armed_conflict] Iran attacks damage 20 US military sites since start of war, satellite images sh
展开类别与严重度分布
今日要闻
Federal ReserveAgencies remove additional references to reputation risk
Federal ReserveFederal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions with former employee of Atlanti
Federal ReserveMinutes of the Board's discount rate meeting on April 20 and 29, 2026
Federal ReserveKevin Warsh takes oath of office as chairman and a member of the Board of Govern
Federal ReserveAgencies publish resolution plan feedback letters for certain domestic and forei
截面动量扫描器 (参考数据，非交易指令)
此表仅按 (6月涨幅 - 波动作罚) 单维排序，展示哪些资产近期最强势。高动量不等于值得买入（可能面临严重回调或超买）。
| 排名 | 标的 | 单因子得分 | 动量(6月) | 波动率 |
|---|
| 1 |
MU $1070.00 ▲+0.5% |
+3.094 |
+347.1% |
75.6% |
| 2 |
ARM $411.19 ▲+2.1% |
+1.636 |
+201.3% |
75.4% |
| 3 |
INTC $112.12 ▲+3.9% |
+1.183 |
+157.9% |
79.2% |
| 4 |
AMD $541.15 ▲+3.8% |
+1.181 |
+151.4% |
66.6% |
| 5 |
BE $285.18 ▼-5.8% |
+1.180 |
+171.6% |
107.2% |
| 6 |
ALAB $362.32 ▲+1.8% |
+1.046 |
+153.5% |
97.8% |
| 7 |
LRCX $343.76 ▲+2.8% |
+0.895 |
+117.9% |
56.8% |
| 8 |
AA $81.54 ▼-2.7% |
+0.699 |
+97.4% |
54.8% |
| 9 |
FLY $40.21 ▼-7.3% |
+0.657 |
+124.6% |
117.8% |
| 10 |
AMAT $499.77 ▲+2.0% |
+0.640 |
+88.8% |
49.6% |
| 11 |
SFTBY (SoftBank) $26.13 ▼-4.6% |
+0.612 |
+102.4% |
82.3% |
| 12 |
GNRC $284.95 ▲+0.1% |
+0.568 |
+83.5% |
53.3% |
| 13 |
KLAC $2124.96 ▲+3.9% |
+0.523 |
+79.0% |
53.4% |
| 14 |
ODFL $232.85 ▲+1.7% |
+0.444 |
+65.2% |
41.4% |
| 15 |
TWLO $225.43 ▼-1.7% |
+0.438 |
+73.7% |
59.9% |